{"id":12085,"date":"2025-10-01T11:18:29","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T15:18:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12085"},"modified":"2025-10-01T11:29:08","modified_gmt":"2025-10-01T15:29:08","slug":"after-opening-month-of-wins-the-2025-jmu-football-season-narrows-in-on-its-biggest-game%ef%bf%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12085","title":{"rendered":"After Opening Month of Wins, The 2025 JMU Football Season Narrows On Its Biggest Game"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I think it\u2019s time for a little football season reset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As the calendar flips to October, JMU Football is 3-1 and looking to build on a 1-0 start in conference play. The first stepping stone on that path is this Saturday, when southern Dukes from all over will gather in Atlanta and take over Georgia State\u2019s modest homefield advantage at Center Parc Stadium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his media availability on Monday, Bob Chesney was quite complimentary of Georgia State\u2019s roster and talent, as is the norm for coaches these days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLook at that roster. Just look at their sizes, look at their speeds, look at their lengths. Look at their bodies\u201d Chesney said. \u201cThe teams they\u2019ve played \u2013 one of them (Memphis) is one of the best in the Group of 5. The other two [No. 4 Ole Miss and No. 16 Vanderbilt] are just juggernauts. That\u2019s who they\u2019ve played. They played Memphis as tight as anybody all year.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s a nice bit of necessary politicking by Chesney, who knows that a team of 20-year-olds need to be focused on every opponent, every week, and it\u2019s never wise to give the other team locker room material.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"JMU Football | Bob Chesney Weekly Press Conference - Sept. 29, 2025\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/KTsW0_mbs54?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As a certified blog boy, I\u2019m under no such obligation, so let\u2019s just be candid about Georgia State. Whatever raw talent they might have on the roster, this is a team that can\u2019t stop much on defense \u2013 especially on the ground. They\u2019re 124th in EPA\/play allowed, 132nd in defensive success rate, 136th \u2013 dead last in FBS \u2013 in EPA\/rush allowed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Georgia State is the second straight team from the state of Georgia that\u2019s likely to give up giant yardage totals to JMU\u2019s ground game. With Ayo Adeyi and Jobi Malary expected back this week, the Dukes can name their yardage total. 200? 300? 400? The only variable is how many run plays Dean Kennedy wants to call.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How confident am I about the matchup? For the first time this year, I put JMU in my <a href=\"https:\/\/sports.betmgm.com\/en\/blog\/college-football\/best-bets-college-football-predictions-week-6-ncaaf-bm06\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Week 6 best bets<\/a> column over at ye old day job. And that point spread ain\u2019t small.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How about next week? Louisiana\u2019s Week 7 trip to the Valley was expected to be a major showdown after the Cajuns were picked to win the Sun Belt West in the preseason.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, Louisiana is 2-3 with losses to Rice and Eastern Michigan. Their game against FCS McNeese was a one-score affair at the start of the fourth quarter, and they needed double overtime to slip past Marshall last weekend. (If you\u2019re an analytics fan, Louisiana ranks 123rd in adjusted EPA\/play.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Louisiana vs Eastern Michigan College Football Highlights Full Game 2025\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/p-ObFEdrbNI?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12063\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">I wrote in August<\/a> that the success of the 2025 season could largely hinge on early results against Liberty and Georgia Southern. But like the Cajuns, neither Liberty nor Southern were nearly as good as anticipated. I don\u2019t think anyone wearing purple is sad that the Liberty fans have been silenced, at least in the short term, but the Southern game turned out to be a dud. Clay Helton could be a Hot Seat candidate if they don\u2019t pick up a few wins in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, with a month of football in the books and a much clearer picture about what the Sun Belt looks like in 2025, there is one game that has become a crucial roadblock this season: Oct. 18 vs. Old Dominion.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After a month of results, it\u2019s become clear that JMU and ODU are the class of the Sun Belt East. Marshall\u2019s championship team transferred to Southern Miss; App State is way down; Coastal Carolina\u2019s glory days are long behind it. Short of widespread injuries or other chaos, one of the Sun Belt\u2019s two Virginia teams should be playing in the Sun Belt Championship Game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s not to say that losses can\u2019t happen elsewhere. After a long period of dominance stretching from 2016 through the end of the Cignetti era, one thing that certain pockets of the JMU fan base sometimes misunderstand is that even a good team can play a bad game \u2013 or an unlucky game \u2013 against an inferior opponent. It\u2019s an oblong ball; sometimes, it takes funny bounces. Undefeated conference runs are rare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>JMU could lose another home game to a rival like App State. It could lose on Tuesday night in central time to a very good Texas State team. It could lose on the road at Marshall to a Herd team that will have nearly a year of experience by the time it draws JMU.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Old Dominion is <em>the <\/em>obstacle this year. James Madison ranks 26th nationally with an opponent-adjusted EPA\/play of +0.20. ODU ranks\u2026 27th, at +0.18. No other Sun Belt team is higher than 50th.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Virginia Tech Hokies | Full Game Highlights | ESPN College Football\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/AioV2zXT7kE?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>JMU must handle business this weekend against Georgia State. It\u2019s the kind of game that a good team should win by quietly executing its game plan.&nbsp;The same goes for next week\u2019s game against Louisiana, and most of the other conference games that JMU will play this year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But circle Oct. 18 on your calendars now, because that is <em>the <\/em>game. If JMU wins, it should exit Week 8 still undefeated in conference play, while also dealing a head-to-head loss to its chief rival. If that were to happen, it would be, in effect, a 1.5-game divisional lead over ODU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So start making your travel plans now. The chief goal this season must be for JMU Football to win its first official Sun Belt title, and the path to do that runs squarely through a Week 8 game against our in-state conference rival. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oct. 18 is as good a day as any to set a new attendance record.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-spotify wp-block-embed-spotify wp-embed-aspect-21-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"Spotify Embed: Dukes Run All Over GA Southern\" style=\"border-radius: 12px\" width=\"100%\" height=\"152\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen allow=\"autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/embed\/episode\/0S5NFZqkZOZA3XgYhruo4R?si=uDJAPGBMQoSoD4DVL9x7GQ&#038;utm_source=oembed\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<iframe src=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/plugins\/like.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fjmusportsblog.com%2F%3Fp%3D12085&amp;layout=standard&amp;show_faces=true&amp;width=450&amp;action=like&amp;colorscheme=light&amp;height=80\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none; overflow:hidden; width:450px; height:80px;\" allowTransparency=\"true\"><\/iframe>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I think it\u2019s time for a little football season reset. As the calendar flips to October, JMU Football is 3-1 and looking to build on a 1-0 start in conference play. The first stepping stone on that path is this Saturday, when southern Dukes from all over will gather in Atlanta and take over Georgia [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[467,456,470],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12053,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12053","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":0},"title":"For JMU Football, Now Comes the Hard Part","date":"August 19, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The James Madison football team is officially less than two weeks away from its first game of the season. That means it\u2019s that magical time of year where football is increasingly a fixation in the front corner of the brain. Personally, I got around this by devoting myself to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jmusportsblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12063,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12063","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":1},"title":"JMU Football Season Preview: Weber State, The Burden of Favoritism, and the Two Games That Will Define the 2025 Season","date":"August 27, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Welcome to Week 1 of the 2025 college football season! James Madison football opens up Year 4 of its spectacular FBS era on Saturday.\u00a0 The Week 1 punching bag of the moment is former FCS playoff foil Weber State \u2013 more on the Wildcats in a minute or two. But\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/k6bpZciBftI\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12091,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12091","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":2},"title":"JMU at Texas State Preview","date":"October 27, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Basics Matchup: JMU (6-1, 4-0 Sun Belt) at Texas State (3-4, 0-3 Sun Belt) Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET ON A TUESDAY, UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, Texas Weather: 76 and Sunny. Finally some redemption for those of us that have made some very cold trips to Texas for JMU\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/OQ8R7FXslA4\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12042,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12042","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":3},"title":"Boca Raton Bowl Preview: JMU vs. Western Kentucky","date":"December 17, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Welcome to bowl season! The inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff kicks off on Friday, and at least one of the teams will look pretty familiar. An in-state Indiana affair will pit the former core of JMU football against No. 7 Notre Dame. As far as brands go, it\u2019s a clash\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/jmusportsblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/image.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12077,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12077","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":4},"title":"JMU at Liberty Preview","date":"September 19, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Basics Matchup: JMU (1-1, 0-0 Sun Belt) at Liberty (1-2, 0-1 Conference USA) Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET, Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA Weather: 80 and Sunny. If you were hoping for a little late-September breeze, you'd better wait another week for conference play. This one might still be sweaty.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/jmusportsblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":12038,"url":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/?p=12038","url_meta":{"origin":12085,"position":5},"title":"JMU at App State: Official JMUSB Game Preview #11","date":"November 22, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The Basics Matchup: JMU at App State Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. ET, Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, NC Weather: Low 40s and Partly Sunny Broadcast: ESPN+ Day Job Numbers: JMU -7 , ML -275; O\/U 59.5 App State has been up and down this year, and the defense has frequently been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;JMU Football&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/jmusportsblog.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12085"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12085"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12085\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12090,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12085\/revisions\/12090"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jmusportsblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}